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Lit Matters #2: Repercussions of Posting ED Wait Times

Mizuho Morrison, DO and Matthew DeLaney, MD, FACEP, FAAEM

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The summary below is from an episode of ERcast: Clinical Perspectives

Publicly posted emergency department wait times change patient behavior. In a city-wide study, longer posted waits were followed by fewer check-ins at that site and small shifts to nearby hospitals, raising operational and patient-safety questions about delayed or forgone emergency care.

Posted ED Wait Times Effects

  • Demand response signal: Patient arrivals moved inversely with posted wait times: a 60-minute longer displayed wait was associated with about 10% fewer check-ins over the next hour.
  • Citywide redistribution effect: When one hospital's posted wait increased, nearby EDs saw a modest bump in arrivals, suggesting public dashboards can redistribute volume across a regional emergency care network.
  • Possible deferred care risk: The concerning finding was not just hospital switching but evidence that some patients may choose not to present anywhere when waits look long, a nuance we get into in the episode.
  • Nonlinear threshold behavior: The response was not purely linear; beyond a certain posted wait, arrivals dropped more sharply, indicating a tipping-point effect without a simple one-size-fits-all planning rule.
  • Operational and leadership stakes: Posting wait times may shorten visible queues by shaping demand, but it also creates competitive pressure between hospitals and potential unintended harm if high-risk patients stay home.

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